About SharpXI
SharpXI is an independent, data-driven tool for finding value in Premier League bet-builder markets — built for bettors tired of tips with no working shown. The same model and stats now also cover Premier League and La Liga and Serie A.
Who builds it
SharpXI is built by Adam, a bettor who has spent more than ten years in football's player markets — shots, fouls, cards — looking for the places where the price and the probability disagree. Over that time the edges added up: not one trick, but a set of patterns he kept refining by hand. SharpXI is those patterns rebuilt as a statistical model — one that publishes its track record, grades every market against a baseline, and says so plainly where it's weak. No bankers. No promises. The working is public on the track record; Adam is on X at @sharpxidotcom.
Why it exists
Most "tips" are opinions with a confident voice and no accountability. SharpXI takes the opposite approach: a transparent statistical model, a probability for every leg, the sample size behind it, and an honest measure of success — closing-line value, not cherry-picked wins. If the model can't justify a price, it doesn't pretend to.
The approach in one line
Model a true probability from four seasons of match data, remove the bookmaker's margin, and surface only the legs where our number genuinely beats the price — ranked by edge and confidence. The full detail is on the methodology page.
The tool
SharpXI's guides, market breakdowns and the honest track record are free to read. The tool itself — the live scanner that prices every leg and ranks the value — will be a paid product, currently in gated beta; public access opens once it's ready. SharpXI is a statistical tool, not a betting operator — it models probabilities, shows its working, and takes no bets.
Independence & honesty
- No affiliate or bookmaker relationships at present — if that ever changes it will be disclosed on the affiliate disclosure page.
- We flag the model's weak spots (match cards is the weakest market) rather than hide them.
- Every projection is a modelled estimate, not a guarantee. Please bet within your means — see responsible gambling.
Get in touch
Questions, corrections or ideas? Email adam@sharpxi.com.