About SharpXI
SharpXI is an independent, data-driven tool for finding value in Premier League, Bundesliga, Championship, La Liga, Ligue 1 and Serie A, plus the UEFA Champions League, the EFL Cup, the UEFA Europa League and the UEFA Nations League bet-builder markets — built for bettors tired of tips with no working shown.
Who builds it
SharpXI is built by Adam, a bettor who has spent more than ten years in football's player markets — shots, fouls, cards — looking for the places where the price and the probability disagree. Over that time the edges added up: not one trick, but a set of patterns he kept refining by hand. SharpXI is those patterns rebuilt as a statistical model — one that publishes its track record, grades every market against a baseline, and says so plainly where it's weak. If the model is good, the record will show it; if not, that will show too. The working is public on the track record; SharpXI is on X at @sharpxidotcom.
Why it exists
Most "tips" are opinions with a confident voice and no accountability. SharpXI takes the opposite approach: a transparent statistical model, a probability for every leg, the sample size behind it, and an honest measure of success — closing-line value, not cherry-picked wins. If the model can't justify a price, it doesn't pretend to.
The approach in one line
Model a true probability from every season of match data we hold, remove the bookmaker's margin, and surface only the legs where our number genuinely beats the price — ranked by edge and confidence. The full detail is on the methodology page.
The tool
SharpXI's guides, market breakdowns and the honest track record are free to read. The tool itself — the player report, which prices every leg and ranks the value — is the paid product; pricing says what it costs. SharpXI is a statistical tool, not a betting operator — it models probabilities, shows its working, and takes no bets.
Independence & honesty
- No affiliate or bookmaker relationships at present — if that ever changes it will be disclosed on the affiliate disclosure page.
- We flag the model's weak spots (3+ saves is the weakest market) rather than hide them.
- Every projection is a modelled estimate, not a guarantee. Please bet within your means — see responsible gambling.
Get in touch
Questions, corrections or ideas? Email adam@sharpxi.com.