Measured, not assumed

Match arbitrage

Back Over at one bookmaker and Under at another and you have covered both outcomes. Add up what the two prices imply: under 100% and the pair pays out whichever way the match goes. Over it, the excess is what covering both sides costs you. No model, no opinion — two prices and a subtraction.

Match result

Three outcomes, one match. Cover all three at the best price each and this is what it costs.

Nothing clears

The closest two bookmakers came was 1.81% short of covering every outcome for free.

24 of the 56 positions in this comparison set one bookmaker against another. The other 32 had a single book best on every outcome

472 of 484 priced matches had the books disagreeing, typically costing 3.85% to cover every outcome.

56 match result positions, priced across every book we hold. Every one of them comes with a subscription. See what you get

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Both teams to score

Two outcomes, and the books disagree on most of them.

Nothing clears

The closest two bookmakers came was 3.67% short of covering every outcome for free.

12 of the 56 positions in this comparison set one bookmaker against another. The other 44 had a single book best on every outcome

472 of 484 priced matches had the books disagreeing, typically costing 3.49% to cover every outcome.

56 both teams to score positions, priced across every book we hold. Every one of them comes with a subscription. See what you get

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Match goals

Nothing clears

The closest two bookmakers came was 1.09% short of covering every outcome for free.

101 of the 336 positions in this comparison set one bookmaker against another. The other 235 had a single book best on every outcome

4,464 two-sided positions priced, typically costing 3.71% to cover both outcomes. Captured 2026-08-17 14:48 to 2026-10-10 08:37, rebuilt once a day. These are not live prices.

14 fixtures priced, both sides, across every book we hold. Every one of them comes with a subscription — along with the model, the graded record and the screener. See what you get

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Which account is worth holding

Across every selection we captured, this is how often each book had the best price, and what you gave up on a typical bet when it did not.

BOOKMAKER	BEST OR TIED	TYPICAL SHORTFALL	SELECTIONS
Pinnacle	67%	—	934
bet365	72%	—	6154
BetMGM	20%	2.37%	892
Paddy Power	16%	2.94%	6138

"Best or tied" counts a selection where a book matched the top price, so the column does not add to 100. A book needs 30 quoted selections to appear.