The player report — Monday 12 to Friday 16 October
Every priced selection the model rates above its edge floor, grouped by match. Prices captured 2026-10-12 14:30. These are not live prices.
Selections41
Fixtures14
Price bands7
Best of the report
The strongest evidence on the board — ranked on record and confidence, never on the biggest price gap. One selection per player.
Alejandro Grimaldo , to have 1 or more shots on targetSame as Over 0.5
Atlético Madrid
Started at wing-back in 80% of recent starts.
Atlético Madrid v Manchester UnitedTue 13 Oct, 20:00
5/42.35
BetMGM
1 book
Our model says
52.9%
The price implies
42.6%
Last 10 matches
6 of 10
Last 20 matches
9 of 20
Match-up
Atlético Madrid at home to Manchester United. Manchester United’s last 5: DWLLD
Home players take more shots than away players, and the model allows for it.
Why the model rates this
Usual rate
0.73
per 90, over 94 matches’ worth of minutes
Expected here
0.6
this match
Alejandro Grimaldo reached 1 or more shots on target in 6 of the last 10, and 9 of the last 20.
Manchester United concede 3% more shots on target than the average side, which pushes the number up.
1 of 41 shown
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7 price bands
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Every selection
Build a slip from these filters
All 41 selections across 14 fixtures, grouped by match.
Atalanta v Venezia
Mon 12 Oct, 17:30
2 LOCKED
Torino v Udinese
Mon 12 Oct, 19:45
2 LOCKED
Coventry City v Newcastle United
Mon 12 Oct, 20:00
4 LOCKED
Levante UD v Sevilla
Mon 12 Oct, 20:00
13 LOCKED
RC Lens v Sporting CP
Tue 13 Oct, 17:45
1 LOCKED
Arsenal v Lille
Tue 13 Oct, 20:00
1 LOCKED
Atlético Madrid v Manchester United
Tue 13 Oct, 20:00
1 LOCKED
Inter v Club Brugge KV
Tue 13 Oct, 20:00
2 LOCKED
Villarreal v SSC Napoli
Tue 13 Oct, 20:00
1 LOCKED
Feyenoord v Como
Wed 14 Oct, 17:45
2 LOCKED
AS Roma v Real Madrid
Wed 14 Oct, 20:00
3 LOCKED
ŠK Slovan Bratislava v VfB Stuttgart
Wed 14 Oct, 20:00
5 LOCKED
Torreense v Sunderland
Thu 15 Oct, 17:45
2 LOCKED
Le Mans v Toulouse
Fri 16 Oct, 19:45
2 LOCKED
EARLIER BOARDS
Snapshots, kept so older links still work. The prices in them have moved.