How to use the filters: set them first, then use your own judgement
By AdamUpdated 13 October 20264 min read
The reports show every line we have a price for, including lines that have hardly ever landed. Set the filters first, so you only see lines with a record behind them. Then check the match yourself.
What the filters mean
- Record: how many of the last 10 matches the line has landed in. 8+ means at least 8 of the last 10.
- Line: the number in the bet. 2+ shots on target means two or more.
- Price: the odds, such as 3/1. Short prices are low, long prices are high.
- Bookmaker: only lines with a price at that bookmaker.
Strong and Fair tags. A record of 80% or better over at least 10 matches gets a green STRONG tag, for example 8 of 10 or 16 of 20. From 50% up to 80% it gets an amber FAIR tag. Below that there is no tag. They describe the record only. They do not say the bet will win.
Every filter opens on Any, so nothing is hidden. That is why a line that has landed twice in 20 matches can sit next to one that has landed 10 times in 10.
The player report
One player, one line, one price. Each card shows the player's record over the last 10 and last 20 matches, and the price at each bookmaker.
The team report
The same, for teams: goals, corners, cards, both teams to score. It also has Evidence, which keeps the three strongest records in each match, and Order, which sorts the board.
Build a slip
It builds an accumulator from the same cards, one leg per match, to the price and bookmaker you choose. The filters decide how good the legs are. It opens on 7+ of the last 10. Choose Any to see everything.
Four ways to set the filters
- A short slip on steady records: Record 9+, Line 1+, price up to 3/1.
- A bigger price with form behind it: Record 7+, price 3/1 to 8/1, sorted by strongest record. Expect fewer cards, so read each one.
- One match you are watching: set Day and Competitions to that match, Record 7+.
- Only what your bookmaker offers: set Bookmaker first.
Then use your own head
A record counts what has already happened. It cannot see the match you are about to watch. Before you back a card, check:
- Who is stronger on paper? A clearly better team usually has more of the ball. A weak side's record may come from weaker opponents. The card shows the opponent.
- What is the match worth? Title race, relegation fight, dead rubber, home or away. A side playing for nothing may rotate.
- What else are they playing? A midweek European tie, a cup match or a derby can change who plays.
- Has anything changed? A new manager, a new formation, an injury or a suspension makes the last 10 a poorer guide. Check the team news.
- Is the line-up in? A starter's record means nothing if the player is on the bench. Team sheets arrive about an hour before kick-off. A player back from injury may be on a minutes limit.
- Who is up against whom? Fouls and shots come from one-on-one duels. In our data, midfielders and forwards commit the most fouls and forwards are fouled the most. A striker against a strong centre back is a different bet from the same striker against a slow defence.
- How does the player play? Aggressive players commit fouls and pick up cards. Slow ones get caught out, especially in some positions. The card's fouls and cards record shows it.
- Who takes the set pieces? Corner, free kick and penalty takers get shots and goals that open play does not. We do not show who takes them, so check the team news.
- Who is the referee? For cards and fouls, the referee matters as much as the player.
- How many matches is the record from? 8 of 10 as a regular starter is not the same as 8 of 10 from a few substitute appearances.
- How short is the price? A 10 of 10 record at a very short price pays little for the risk. A long slip multiplies every leg's chance of failing, and legs from the same match tend to move together.
- Is it the best price? Bookmakers differ and prices move. Compare before you place it.
A record shows how often a line has landed. It does not promise it will land this time. Stake only what you can afford to lose.
Frequently asked
Why do the reports open on Any?
So nothing is hidden from you. The cost is that a line with a weak record sits beside one with a strong record. Set the minimum record, the line and the price range first, and what is left has a record behind it.
What does Build a slip open on, and why?
7+ of the last 10. A slip is built from whatever fits the price, so with no minimum a weak record can end up in it. Raise the record for steadier legs, or choose Any to see everything.
Does a strong record mean the bet will win?
No. It is a count of what has already happened. It cannot see the line-up, the opponent or the occasion, which is why the guide ends with what to check yourself, from the match and the players to the price.
Keep going
SharpXI models probabilities; it doesn't promise profit, and neither should anyone else. Betting involves risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.