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Track record

The SharpXI model track record

A model is only worth its calibration. Every prediction below was made before kick-off from earlier data only, then checked against what actually happened — across every league we cover, graded market by market against a base-rate baseline. No cherry-picking, no hindsight, and no blended headline hiding a weaker league.

354,192
predictions graded, out of sample
3
leagues, each scored on its own data

Each league is graded on its own data because sample sizes and edges genuinely differ — a single blended number would flatter the weaker ones. Open any league for the full market-by-market breakdown and calibration curves.