Celtic v BSC Young Boys
How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Champions League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Celtic beat BSC Young Boys 1–0, the SharpXI model made 8 confident calls on the player markets and 4 landed — the strongest being Arne Engels for 1+ shots total (74%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Silvère Ganvoula for 1+ shots total (78%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
3 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record →
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silvère Ganvoula | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Arne Engels | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
| Arne Engels | fouls committed | 1+ | 70% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jaouen Hadjam | fouls committed | 1+ | 64% | 2 | ✓ |
| Arne Engels | fouls drawn | 1+ | 64% | 3 | ✓ |
| Silvère Ganvoula | fouls committed | 1+ | 56% | 0 | ✗ |
| Silvère Ganvoula | shots on target | 1+ | 55% | 0 | ✗ |
| Silvère Ganvoula | fouls drawn | 1+ | 51% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jaouen Hadjam | fouls drawn | 1+ | 48% | 2 | ✓ |
| Auston Trusty | fouls committed | 1+ | 47% | 1 | ✓ |
| Arne Engels | shots on target | 1+ | 46% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jaouen Hadjam | shots total | 1+ | 42% | 1 | ✓ |
| Auston Trusty | fouls drawn | 1+ | 42% | 1 | ✓ |
| Auston Trusty | shots total | 1+ | 29% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed · Fouls drawn · Shots on target
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 53% | 1 goals | ✗ |
| BTTS | Yes | 49% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 34% | 6 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Match goals · Match cards
Dig deeper
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Celtic v BSC Young Boys?
4 of its 8 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Celtic v BSC Young Boys?
The most confident call it got wrong was Silvère Ganvoula at 78% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Champions League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.