Club Brugge KV v Juventus
How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Champions League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Club Brugge KV drew with Juventus 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 6 landed — the strongest being Christos Tzolis for 1+ shots total (79%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Nicolás González for 1+ shots total (80%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
13 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record →
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás González | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Christos Tzolis | shots total | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kenan Yıldız | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicolás González | fouls drawn | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kenan Yıldız | fouls drawn | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Douglas Luiz | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 2 | ✓ |
| Christos Tzolis | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Samuel Mbangula | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Francisco Conceição | shots total | 1+ | 68% | 0 | ✗ |
| Teun Koopmeiners | shots total | 1+ | 68% | 2 | ✓ |
| Christos Tzolis | fouls drawn | 1+ | 67% | 1 | ✓ |
| Teun Koopmeiners | fouls committed | 1+ | 66% | 1 | ✓ |
| Francisco Conceição | fouls drawn | 1+ | 64% | 0 | ✗ |
| Samuel Mbangula | fouls drawn | 1+ | 64% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls drawn · Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 46% | 2 cards | ✗ |
| BTTS | Yes | 40% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 33% | 0 goals | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match cards · BTTS
Dig deeper
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Club Brugge KV v Juventus?
6 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Club Brugge KV v Juventus?
The most confident call it got wrong was Nicolás González at 80% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Champions League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.