FK Crvena Zvezda v BSC Young Boys
How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Champions League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before FK Crvena Zvezda drew with BSC Young Boys 2–2, the SharpXI model made 2 confident calls on the player markets and 2 landed — the strongest being Saidy Janko for 1+ tackles (70%, had 2). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
1 match on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saidy Janko | tackles | 1+ | 70% | 2 | ✓ |
| Saidy Janko | fouls committed | 1+ | 55% | 2 | ✓ |
| Saidy Janko | shots total | 1+ | 48% | 0 | ✗ |
| Saidy Janko | fouls drawn | 1+ | 36% | 0 | ✗ |
| Saidy Janko | shots on target | 1+ | 18% | 0 | ✗ |
| Saidy Janko | cards | — | 12% | Not booked | ✗ |
| Saidy Janko | sot outside box | 1+ | 7% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Fouls committed Shots total Fouls drawn Shots on target Cards Sot outside box
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 78% | 9 cards | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 76% | 4 goals | ✓ |
| BTTS | Yes | 45% | Yes | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Match cards Match goals
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- BSC Young Boys 0–1 FK Crvena Zvezda Jan 2025
- BSC Young Boys 2–0 FK Crvena Zvezda Nov 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on FK Crvena Zvezda v BSC Young Boys?
2 of its 2 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on FK Crvena Zvezda v BSC Young Boys?
Every one of its confident calls landed this time — a single strong game, not a verdict. When the model does miss, those rows sit in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross; we never hide them.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Champions League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.