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UEFA Champions League · 23/24

FK Crvena Zvezda v BSC Young Boys

How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Champions League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

FK Crvena Zvezda2 – 2 BSC Young Boys 4 Oct 2023
Match officials
William Collum refereed this match

1 match on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record →

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Saidy Janko shots total 1+ 46% 0
Saidy Janko fouls committed 1+ 45% 2
Saidy Janko fouls drawn 1+ 37% 0
Saidy Janko cards 21% Not booked
Saidy Janko shots on target 1+ 20% 0

How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed · Fouls drawn · Cards · Shots on target

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
Match cards O4.5 78% 9 cards
Match goals O2.5 76% 4 goals
BTTS Yes 45% Yes

How these are modelled: Match cards · Match goals

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

What is this FK Crvena Zvezda v BSC Young Boys page?

The model's read on the fixture: a modelled probability for each of the player and match markets that matter in a bet builder, ranked by how confident the model is. Once the game has been played, this same page shows what actually happened next to every call.

Is this a tip?

Graded in public, wins and losses alike. A probability is not advice and there is no price attached here — whether a market is worth backing depends on what the bookmaker is charging for it, which is the question the SharpXI tool answers rather than this page.

Where do the numbers come from?

Public match data for the clubs and players involved, run through the same model used across the site — recent form shrunk toward the league average, adjusted for the opponent and the referee. The modelling guides explain each market in detail.

How accurate has the model been in the UEFA Champions League?

Every finished fixture on this site carries its own report card, and the season-long record for each market — the ones that beat a naive guess and the ones that don't — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.