Galatasaray v Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Champions League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Galatasaray lost to Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0–1, the SharpXI model made 13 confident calls on the player markets and 7 landed — the strongest being Leroy Sané for 1+ shots total (82%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Roland Sallai for 1+ shots total (76%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leroy Sané | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Gabriel Sara | fouls drawn | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Roland Sallai | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Roland Sallai | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Gabriel Sara | shots total | 1+ | 71% | 4 | ✓ |
| Leroy Sané | fouls drawn | 1+ | 67% | 0 | ✗ |
| Roland Sallai | fouls committed | 1+ | 67% | 3 | ✓ |
| İlkay Gündoğan | fouls drawn | 1+ | 66% | 1 | ✓ |
| Leroy Sané | shots on target | 1+ | 62% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ismail Jakobs | fouls drawn | 1+ | 61% | 1 | ✓ |
| İlkay Gündoğan | shots total | 1+ | 56% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ismail Jakobs | fouls committed | 1+ | 54% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ismail Jakobs | shots total | 1+ | 51% | 0 | ✗ |
| Leroy Sané | fouls committed | 1+ | 49% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls drawn · Fouls committed · Shots on target
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 89% | 1 goals | ✗ |
| BTTS | Yes | 78% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 20% | 7 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Match goals · Match cards
Dig deeper
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Galatasaray v Royale Union Saint-Gilloise?
7 of its 13 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Galatasaray v Royale Union Saint-Gilloise?
The most confident call it got wrong was Roland Sallai at 76% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Champions League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.