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UEFA Champions League 25/26

SK Slavia Praha v Bodø/Glimt

How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Champions League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

SK Slavia Praha2 – 2 Bodø/Glimt 17 Sep 2025
7/11
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before SK Slavia Praha drew with Bodø/Glimt 2–2, the SharpXI model made 11 confident calls on the player markets and 7 landed — the strongest being Jens Petter Hauge for 1+ shots total (93%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Patrick Berg for 1+ shots total (71%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Marian Barbu refereed this match

1 match on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Jens Petter Hauge shots total 1+ 93% 1 ✓
Patrick Berg tackles 1+ 75% 4 ✓
David Zima tackles 1+ 74% 3 ✓
Patrick Berg shots total 1+ 71% 0 ✗
Patrick Berg fouls committed 1+ 66% 0 ✗
Jens Petter Hauge fouls committed 1+ 66% 0 ✗
Jens Petter Hauge fouls drawn 1+ 64% 2 ✓
Jens Petter Hauge shots on target 1+ 60% 1 ✓
Patrick Berg fouls drawn 1+ 60% 0 ✗
David Zima fouls committed 1+ 57% 1 ✓
Jens Petter Hauge tackles 1+ 57% 1 ✓
David Zima shots total 1+ 48% 1 ✓
Patrick Berg shots on target 1+ 44% 0 ✗
David Zima fouls drawn 1+ 43% 1 ✓

How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls committed Fouls drawn Shots on target

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Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on SK Slavia Praha v Bodø/Glimt?

7 of its 11 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on SK Slavia Praha v Bodø/Glimt?

The most confident call it got wrong was Patrick Berg at 71% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Champions League?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.