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UEFA Champions League · 25/26

SK Slavia Praha v Bodø/Glimt

How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Champions League fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

SK Slavia Praha2 – 2 Bodø/Glimt 17 Sep 2025
3/7
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before SK Slavia Praha drew with Bodø/Glimt 2–2, the SharpXI model made 7 confident calls on the player markets and 3 landed — the strongest being Jens Petter Hauge for 1+ shots total (72%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Patrick Berg for 1+ fouls committed (66%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Marian Barbu refereed this match

1 match on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record →

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Jens Petter Hauge shots total 1+ 72% 1
Patrick Berg fouls committed 1+ 66% 0
Jens Petter Hauge fouls drawn 1+ 64% 2
Jens Petter Hauge fouls committed 1+ 61% 0
Patrick Berg shots total 1+ 61% 0
Patrick Berg fouls drawn 1+ 60% 0
David Zima fouls committed 1+ 53% 1
Jens Petter Hauge shots on target 1+ 48% 1
David Zima fouls drawn 1+ 44% 1
David Zima shots total 1+ 38% 1
Patrick Berg shots on target 1+ 32% 0
Patrick Berg cards 21% Booked
David Zima shots on target 1+ 17% 0
David Zima cards 16% Not booked

How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed · Fouls drawn · Shots on target · Cards

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Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on SK Slavia Praha v Bodø/Glimt?

3 of its 7 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on SK Slavia Praha v Bodø/Glimt?

The most confident call it got wrong was Patrick Berg at 66% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Champions League?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.