AC Sparta Praha v Shamrock Rovers
How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Conference League fixture — every call it made on shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before AC Sparta Praha beat Shamrock Rovers 4–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 8 landed — the strongest being Garang Kuol for 1+ shots total (85%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Veljko Birmančević for 1+ tackles (85%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
4 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garang Kuol | shots total | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Veljko Birmančević | shots total | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Veljko Birmančević | tackles | 1+ | 85% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sivert Mannsverk | tackles | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Garang Kuol | tackles | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Pavel Kadeřábek | tackles | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
| Garang Kuol | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Veljko Birmančević | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sivert Mannsverk | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Garang Kuol | fouls drawn | 1+ | 65% | 0 | ✗ |
| Veljko Birmančević | fouls drawn | 1+ | 65% | 1 | ✓ |
| Pavel Kadeřábek | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sivert Mannsverk | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 3 | ✓ |
| Pavel Kadeřábek | fouls committed | 1+ | 63% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls committed Fouls drawn
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Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on AC Sparta Praha v Shamrock Rovers?
8 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on AC Sparta Praha v Shamrock Rovers?
The most confident call it got wrong was Veljko Birmančević at 85% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Conference League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.