Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
UEFA Conference League 23/24

Bodø/Glimt v Club Brugge KV

How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Conference League fixture — every call it made on shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.

Bodø/Glimt0 – 1 Club Brugge KV 5 Oct 2023
7/7
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Bodø/Glimt lost to Club Brugge KV 0–1, the SharpXI model made 7 confident calls on the player markets and 7 landed — the strongest being Fredrik André Bjørkan for 1+ tackles (85%, had 1). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Ondrej Berka refereed this match

6 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Fredrik André Bjørkan tackles 1+ 85% 1 ✓
Patrick Berg tackles 1+ 85% 2 ✓
Patrick Berg fouls drawn 1+ 84% 1 ✓
Fredrik André Bjørkan fouls drawn 1+ 65% 1 ✓
Patrick Berg fouls committed 1+ 63% 1 ✓
Fredrik André Bjørkan fouls committed 1+ 53% 2 ✓
Patrick Berg shots total 1+ 50% 1 ✓
Fredrik André Bjørkan shots total 1+ 28% 1 ✓
Patrick Berg shots on target 1+ 23% 0 ✗
Fredrik André Bjørkan shots on target 1+ 11% 0 ✗

How these are modelled: Tackles Fouls drawn Fouls committed Shots total Shots on target

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Bodø/Glimt v Club Brugge KV?

7 of its 7 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Bodø/Glimt v Club Brugge KV?

Every one of its confident calls landed this time — a single strong game, not a verdict. When the model does miss, those rows sit in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross; we never hide them.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Conference League?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.