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SharpXI©
UEFA Conference League 22/23

FC Vaduz v SC Dnipro-1

How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Conference League fixture — every call it made on shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.

FC Vaduz1 – 2 SC Dnipro-1 13 Oct 2022
1/3
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before FC Vaduz lost to SC Dnipro-1 1–2, the SharpXI model made 3 confident calls on the player markets and 1 landed — the strongest being Yanis Hamache for 1+ shots total (59%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Yanis Hamache for 1+ tackles (74%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Marian Barbu refereed this match

5 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Yanis Hamache tackles 1+ 74% 0 ✗
Yanis Hamache fouls committed 1+ 63% 0 ✗
Yanis Hamache shots total 1+ 59% 1 ✓
Yanis Hamache fouls drawn 1+ 47% 1 ✓
Yanis Hamache shots on target 1+ 30% 1 ✓

How these are modelled: Tackles Fouls committed Shots total Fouls drawn Shots on target

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on FC Vaduz v SC Dnipro-1?

1 of its 3 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on FC Vaduz v SC Dnipro-1?

The most confident call it got wrong was Yanis Hamache at 74% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Conference League?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.