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UEFA Conference League 23/24

GNK Dinamo Zagreb v KF Ballkani

How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Conference League fixture — every call it made on shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.

GNK Dinamo Zagreb3 – 0 KF Ballkani 14 Dec 2023
4/7
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before GNK Dinamo Zagreb beat KF Ballkani 3–0, the SharpXI model made 7 confident calls on the player markets and 4 landed — the strongest being Gabriel Vidović for 1+ tackles (85%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Josip Šutalo for 1+ tackles (74%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea refereed this match

3 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Gabriel Vidović tackles 1+ 85% 1 ✓
Gabriel Vidović shots total 1+ 82% 3 ✓
Josip Šutalo tackles 1+ 74% 0 ✗
Gabriel Vidović fouls committed 1+ 72% 1 ✓
Gabriel Vidović fouls drawn 1+ 60% 1 ✓
Josip Šutalo fouls committed 1+ 53% 0 ✗
Josip Šutalo shots total 1+ 51% 0 ✗
Gabriel Vidović shots on target 1+ 42% 1 ✓
Josip Šutalo fouls drawn 1+ 42% 0 ✗
Josip Šutalo shots on target 1+ 23% 0 ✗

How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls committed Fouls drawn Shots on target

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on GNK Dinamo Zagreb v KF Ballkani?

4 of its 7 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on GNK Dinamo Zagreb v KF Ballkani?

The most confident call it got wrong was Josip Šutalo at 74% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Conference League?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.