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UEFA Conference League 23/24

HŠK Zrinjski Mostar v Legia Warszawa

How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Conference League fixture — every call it made on shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.

HŠK Zrinjski Mostar1 – 2 Legia Warszawa 26 Oct 2023
1/1
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before HŠK Zrinjski Mostar lost to Legia Warszawa 1–2, the SharpXI model made 1 confident calls on the player markets and 1 landed — the strongest being Stipe Radić for 1+ fouls committed (63%, had 1). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Andrei Florin Chivulete refereed this match

3 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Stipe Radić fouls committed 1+ 63% 1 ✓
Stipe Radić fouls drawn 1+ 47% 0 ✗
Stipe Radić shots total 1+ 42% 1 ✓
Stipe Radić tackles 1+ 37% 0 ✗
Stipe Radić shots on target 1+ 15% 0 ✗

How these are modelled: Fouls committed Fouls drawn Shots total Tackles Shots on target

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Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on HŠK Zrinjski Mostar v Legia Warszawa?

1 of its 1 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on HŠK Zrinjski Mostar v Legia Warszawa?

Every one of its confident calls landed this time — a single strong game, not a verdict. When the model does miss, those rows sit in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross; we never hide them.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Conference League?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.