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SharpXI©
UEFA Conference League 22/23

Nice v 1. FC Slovácko

How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Conference League fixture — every call it made on shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.

Nice1 – 2 1. FC Slovácko 13 Oct 2022
12/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Nice lost to 1. FC Slovácko 1–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Andy Delort for 1+ shots total (85%, had 6). Its clearest miss: Gaëtan Laborde for 1+ shots total (85%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Iwan Griffith refereed this match

2 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Gaëtan Laborde shots total 1+ 85% 0 ✗
Andy Delort shots total 1+ 85% 6 ✓
Nicolas Pépé shots total 1+ 85% 3 ✓
Mario Lemina tackles 1+ 85% 5 ✓
Dante tackles 1+ 83% 1 ✓
Joe Bryan tackles 1+ 81% 2 ✓
Sofiane Diop shots total 1+ 79% 3 ✓
Jean-Clair Todibo tackles 1+ 76% 1 ✓
Khéphren Thuram tackles 1+ 76% 1 ✓
Nicolas Pépé fouls drawn 1+ 76% 4 ✓
Jordan Lotomba tackles 1+ 76% 1 ✓
Sofiane Diop tackles 1+ 74% 0 ✗
Mattia Viti tackles 1+ 72% 1 ✓
Andy Delort shots on target 1+ 71% 4 ✓

How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls drawn Shots on target

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Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Nice v 1. FC Slovácko?

12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Nice v 1. FC Slovácko?

The most confident call it got wrong was Gaëtan Laborde at 85% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Conference League?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.