FC Emmen v FC Dordrecht
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before FC Emmen drew with FC Dordrecht 2–2, the SharpXI model made 5 confident calls on the player markets and 3 landed — the strongest being Vicente Besuijen for 1+ shots total (87%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Jorrit Smeets for 1+ shots total (72%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicente Besuijen | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Maikel Kieftenbeld | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorrit Smeets | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lucas Bernadou | shots total | 1+ | 58% | 0 | ✗ |
| Vicente Besuijen | shots on target | 1+ | 57% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jeff Hardeveld | shots total | 1+ | 48% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ilias Bronkhorst | shots total | 1+ | 48% | 2 | ✓ |
| Dennis Vos | shots total | 1+ | 42% | 0 | ✗ |
| Julius Dirksen | shots total | 1+ | 42% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ruben Kluivert | shots total | 1+ | 40% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mike te Wierik | shots total | 1+ | 39% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jorrit Smeets | shots on target | 1+ | 37% | 0 | ✗ |
| Maikel Kieftenbeld | shots on target | 1+ | 37% | 0 | ✗ |
| Michaël Heylen | shots total | 1+ | 37% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- FC Dordrecht 0–1 FC Emmen May 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on FC Emmen v FC Dordrecht?
3 of its 5 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on FC Emmen v FC Dordrecht?
The most confident call it got wrong was Jorrit Smeets at 72% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.