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Eredivisie 22/23

Feyenoord v FC Emmen

How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.

Feyenoord4 – 0 FC Emmen 27 Aug 2022
10/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Feyenoord beat FC Emmen 4–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Javairô Dilrosun for 1+ shots total (87%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Ole Romeny for 1+ shots total (77%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials-22% cards vs the league average
Bas Nijhuis refereed this match 2.50cards a gameleague 3.19 78games
Bas Nijhuis's card record
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Javairô Dilrosun shots total 1+ 87% 3 ✓
Danilo Pereira shots total 1+ 87% 2 ✓
Patrik Wålemark shots total 1+ 87% 2 ✓
Santiago Giménez shots total 1+ 87% 1 ✓
Ole Romeny shots total 1+ 77% 0 ✗
Rui Mendes shots total 1+ 73% 1 ✓
Richairo Živković shots total 1+ 72% 2 ✓
Orkun Kökçü shots total 1+ 72% 2 ✓
Jasin Assehnoun shots total 1+ 65% 0 ✗
Quinten Timber shots total 1+ 64% 3 ✓
Mark Diemers shots total 1+ 64% 1 ✓
Jari Vlak shots total 1+ 60% 1 ✓
Lucas Bernadou shots total 1+ 58% 0 ✗
Danilo Pereira shots on target 1+ 57% 0 ✗

How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target

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Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Feyenoord v FC Emmen?

10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Feyenoord v FC Emmen?

The most confident call it got wrong was Ole Romeny at 77% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.