Roda JC Kerkrade v RKC Waalwijk
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Roda JC Kerkrade drew with RKC Waalwijk 1–1, the SharpXI model made 9 confident calls on the player markets and 7 landed — the strongest being Iman Griffith for 1+ shots total (91%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Joshua Nisbet for 1+ shots total (64%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Uneken | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Iman Griffith | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Michael Breij | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Denilho Cleonise | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 4 | ✓ |
| Jesper Uneken | shots on target | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Harrie Kuster | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
| Joshua Nisbet | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 0 | ✗ |
| Iman Griffith | shots on target | 1+ | 57% | 1 | ✓ |
| Harrie Kuster | shots on target | 1+ | 52% | 0 | ✗ |
| Denilho Cleonise | shots on target | 1+ | 49% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nazjir Held | shots total | 1+ | 47% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lucas Beerten | shots total | 1+ | 47% | 0 | ✗ |
| Joey Muller | shots total | 1+ | 47% | 2 | ✓ |
| Dario Van Den Buijs | shots total | 1+ | 47% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- RKC Waalwijk 1–1 Roda JC Kerkrade May 2026
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Roda JC Kerkrade v RKC Waalwijk?
7 of its 9 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Roda JC Kerkrade v RKC Waalwijk?
The most confident call it got wrong was Joshua Nisbet at 64% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.