Serdar Gozubuyuk
Over the last 10 Eredivisie games Serdar Gozubuyuk has officiated, the average is 3.50 cards a match — 10% above the league average of 3.19. That splits 3.3 yellow and 0.2 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 1.9 to 1.6 a game, in line with the league's 0.4 gap. 5+ cards landed in 30% of those games (3 of 10), from a 15.8% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Next appointment Sparta Rotterdam v Willem II Tilburg→ Sat 17 Oct 20:00 — see both teams' player card & foul ratesMatch cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Serdar Gozubuyuk turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Eredivisie season on record.
| Measure | Gozubuyuk | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.63 | 3.19 |
| vs league | 1.14× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 16.3% | 15.4% |
| Fouls / match | 22.3 | 20.7 |
| Red cards shown | 11 | — |
| Matches on record | 108 (6 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Eredivisie games Serdar Gozubuyuk took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax v NEC Nijmegen10 Oct | 1–1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 21 |
| FC Twente v PSV Eindhoven20 Sep | 3–2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 22 |
| SC Heerenveen v SC Telstar13 Sep | 0–0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
| Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam29 Aug | 2–1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| Fortuna Sittard v AZ Alkmaar22 Aug | 0–2 | 2 1 red | 1 | 1 | 20 |
| Willem II Tilburg v NEC Nijmegen15 Aug | 1–4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
| SC Telstar v Heracles Almelo10 May | 3–0 | 5 1 red | 4 | 1 | 24 |
| FC Volendam v SC Heerenveen3 May | 0–2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 22 |
● a red card in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Serdar Gozubuyuk give per game?
Serdar Gozubuyuk averages 3.63 cards a game across 108 Eredivisie matches — 14% above the league average of 3.19. On a Serdar Gozubuyuk appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 1.14.
Is Serdar Gozubuyuk a strict referee?
Slightly, yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Serdar Gozubuyuk runs at 16.3% against a league average of 15.4%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Serdar Gozubuyuk's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Serdar Gozubuyuk's card rate?
It rests on 108 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.