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UEFA Europa League 22/23

Bodø/Glimt v FC Zürich

How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Europa League fixture — every call it made on cards, shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.

Bodø/Glimt2 – 1 FC Zürich 15 Sep 2022
3/5
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Bodø/Glimt beat FC Zürich 2–1, the SharpXI model made 5 confident calls on the player markets and 3 landed — the strongest being Patrick Berg for 1+ shots total (88%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Patrick Berg for 1+ fouls committed (63%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Stephanie Frappart refereed this match

2 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Patrick Berg shots total 1+ 88% 2 ✓
Patrick Berg fouls drawn 1+ 64% 2 ✓
Patrick Berg fouls committed 1+ 63% 0 ✗
Patrick Berg shots on target 1+ 60% 0 ✗
Patrick Berg tackles 1+ 56% 2 ✓
Patrick Berg cards — 3% Not booked ✗

How these are modelled: Shots total Fouls drawn Fouls committed Shots on target Tackles Cards

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Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Bodø/Glimt v FC Zürich?

3 of its 5 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Bodø/Glimt v FC Zürich?

The most confident call it got wrong was Patrick Berg at 63% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Europa League?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.