FC Twente v Beşiktaş JK
How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Europa League fixture — every call it made on cards, shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before FC Twente beat Beşiktaş JK 1–0, the SharpXI model made 12 confident calls on the player markets and 7 landed — the strongest being Ciro Immobile for 1+ shots total (97%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Ciro Immobile for 1+ shots on target (83%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
4 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciro Immobile | shots total | 1+ | 97% | 1 | ✓ |
| Milot Rashica | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ciro Immobile | shots on target | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Milot Rashica | fouls drawn | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ciro Immobile | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| Felix Uduokhai | tackles | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| Milot Rashica | fouls committed | 1+ | 64% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ciro Immobile | fouls committed | 1+ | 64% | 3 | ✓ |
| Felix Uduokhai | fouls committed | 1+ | 64% | 2 | ✓ |
| Milot Rashica | shots on target | 1+ | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
| Milot Rashica | tackles | 1+ | 56% | 4 | ✓ |
| Ciro Immobile | tackles | 1+ | 56% | 0 | ✗ |
| Felix Uduokhai | fouls drawn | 1+ | 44% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ciro Immobile | cards | — | 42% | Booked | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target Fouls drawn Tackles Fouls committed Cards
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Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on FC Twente v Beşiktaş JK?
7 of its 12 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on FC Twente v Beşiktaş JK?
The most confident call it got wrong was Ciro Immobile at 83% for shots on target — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Europa League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.