Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
UEFA Europa League 24/25

FC Twente v Bodø/Glimt

How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Europa League fixture — every call it made on cards, shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.

FC Twente2 – 1 Bodø/Glimt 13 Feb 2025
9/13
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before FC Twente beat Bodø/Glimt 2–1, the SharpXI model made 13 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Naci Ünüvar for 1+ tackles (85%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Jens Petter Hauge for 1+ shots total (87%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Sebastian Gishamer refereed this match

8 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Jens Petter Hauge shots total 1+ 87% 0 ✗
Naci Ünüvar tackles 1+ 85% 3 ✓
Patrick Berg tackles 1+ 85% 5 ✓
Naci Ünüvar shots total 1+ 85% 1 ✓
Patrick Berg shots total 1+ 76% 2 ✓
Jens Petter Hauge fouls drawn 1+ 74% 1 ✓
Patrick Berg fouls drawn 1+ 70% 1 ✓
Patrick Berg fouls committed 1+ 64% 0 ✗
Jens Petter Hauge fouls committed 1+ 64% 1 ✓
Naci Ünüvar fouls committed 1+ 64% 3 ✓
Jens Petter Hauge shots on target 1+ 60% 0 ✗
Jens Petter Hauge tackles 1+ 59% 0 ✗
Naci Ünüvar fouls drawn 1+ 53% 1 ✓
Naci Ünüvar shots on target 1+ 46% 0 ✗

How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls drawn Fouls committed Shots on target

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on FC Twente v Bodø/Glimt?

9 of its 13 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on FC Twente v Bodø/Glimt?

The most confident call it got wrong was Jens Petter Hauge at 87% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Europa League?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.