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UEFA Europa League 25/26

FC Viktoria Plzeň v Panathinaikos FC

How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Europa League fixture — every call it made on cards, shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.

FC Viktoria Plzeň1 – 1 Panathinaikos FC 26 Feb 2026
10/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before FC Viktoria Plzeň drew with Panathinaikos FC 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Renato Sanches for 1+ fouls committed (86%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Anass Zaroury for 1+ shots total (94%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Donatas Rumsas refereed this match

6 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Anass Zaroury shots total 1+ 94% 0 ✗
Renato Sanches fouls committed 1+ 86% 2 ✓
Facundo Pellistri tackles 1+ 85% 2 ✓
Davide Calabria tackles 1+ 85% 2 ✓
Ahmed Touba tackles 1+ 85% 3 ✓
Renato Sanches shots total 1+ 83% 2 ✓
Filip Đuričić fouls drawn 1+ 78% 2 ✓
Anass Zaroury tackles 1+ 78% 0 ✗
Filip Đuričić tackles 1+ 78% 2 ✓
Filip Đuričić shots total 1+ 76% 1 ✓
Facundo Pellistri shots total 1+ 76% 1 ✓
Renato Sanches tackles 1+ 76% 0 ✗
Renato Sanches fouls drawn 1+ 75% 1 ✓
Facundo Pellistri fouls drawn 1+ 75% 0 ✗

How these are modelled: Shots total Fouls committed Tackles Fouls drawn

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Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on FC Viktoria Plzeň v Panathinaikos FC?

10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on FC Viktoria Plzeň v Panathinaikos FC?

The most confident call it got wrong was Anass Zaroury at 94% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Europa League?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.