Hapoel Be'er Sheva v GNK Dinamo Zagreb
How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Europa League fixture — every call it made on cards, shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Hapoel Be'er Sheva drew with GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Mislav Oršić for 1+ shots total (94%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Miha Zajc for 1+ shots total (76%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
7 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mislav Oršić | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Forson Amankwah | shots total | 1+ | 85% | 3 | ✓ |
| Forson Amankwah | tackles | 1+ | 78% | 3 | ✓ |
| Miha Zajc | tackles | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Miha Zajc | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sergi Domínguez | tackles | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mislav Oršić | fouls drawn | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mislav Oršić | fouls committed | 1+ | 67% | 0 | ✗ |
| Forson Amankwah | fouls committed | 1+ | 64% | 3 | ✓ |
| Miha Zajc | fouls committed | 1+ | 64% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sergi Domínguez | fouls committed | 1+ | 64% | 1 | ✓ |
| Miha Zajc | fouls drawn | 1+ | 64% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mislav Oršić | shots on target | 1+ | 60% | 1 | ✓ |
| Scott McKenna | tackles | 1+ | 59% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls drawn Fouls committed Shots on target
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Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Hapoel Be'er Sheva v GNK Dinamo Zagreb?
9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Hapoel Be'er Sheva v GNK Dinamo Zagreb?
The most confident call it got wrong was Miha Zajc at 76% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Europa League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.