Maccabi Haifa v Panathinaikos FC
How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Europa League fixture — every call it made on cards, shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Maccabi Haifa drew with Panathinaikos FC 0–0, the SharpXI model made 10 confident calls on the player markets and 5 landed — the strongest being Tonny Vilhena for 1+ shots total (85%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Filip Đuričić for 1+ shots total (88%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
5 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Đuričić | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tonny Vilhena | shots total | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Filip Đuričić | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Filip Đuričić | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Filip Đuričić | fouls drawn | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tonny Vilhena | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 3 | ✓ |
| Tonny Vilhena | tackles | 1+ | 68% | 3 | ✓ |
| Filip Đuričić | tackles | 1+ | 68% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tonny Vilhena | fouls drawn | 1+ | 61% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tonny Vilhena | shots on target | 1+ | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
| Filip Đuričić | cards | — | 16% | Booked | ✓ |
| Tonny Vilhena | cards | — | 13% | Not booked | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Fouls committed Shots on target Fouls drawn Tackles Cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Panathinaikos FC 1–2 Maccabi Haifa Dec 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Maccabi Haifa v Panathinaikos FC?
5 of its 10 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Maccabi Haifa v Panathinaikos FC?
The most confident call it got wrong was Filip Đuričić at 88% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Europa League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.