PAOK v SK Slavia Praha
How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Europa League fixture — every call it made on cards, shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before PAOK beat SK Slavia Praha 2–0, the SharpXI model made 8 confident calls on the player markets and 6 landed — the strongest being Jonny Otto for 1+ tackles (85%, had 4). Its clearest miss: Rahman Baba for 1+ fouls committed (64%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahman Baba | tackles | 1+ | 85% | 5 | ✓ |
| Jonny Otto | tackles | 1+ | 85% | 4 | ✓ |
| David Zima | tackles | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonny Otto | fouls drawn | 1+ | 69% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonny Otto | fouls committed | 1+ | 64% | 1 | ✓ |
| Rahman Baba | fouls committed | 1+ | 64% | 0 | ✗ |
| David Zima | fouls committed | 1+ | 63% | 0 | ✗ |
| Rahman Baba | fouls drawn | 1+ | 61% | 3 | ✓ |
| David Zima | fouls drawn | 1+ | 44% | 2 | ✓ |
| Rahman Baba | shots total | 1+ | 41% | 0 | ✗ |
| David Zima | shots total | 1+ | 41% | 4 | ✓ |
| Jonny Otto | shots total | 1+ | 30% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonny Otto | cards | — | 24% | Booked | ✓ |
| Rahman Baba | cards | — | 23% | Not booked | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Fouls drawn Fouls committed Shots total Cards
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Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on PAOK v SK Slavia Praha?
6 of its 8 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on PAOK v SK Slavia Praha?
The most confident call it got wrong was Rahman Baba at 64% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Europa League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.