Real Betis v AC Sparta Praha
How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Europa League fixture — every call it made on cards, shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Real Betis beat AC Sparta Praha 2–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 6 landed — the strongest being Marc Roca for 1+ tackles (93%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Guido Rodríguez for 1+ tackles (97%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
6 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitor Ruibal | tackles | 1+ | 97% | 0 | ✗ |
| Guido Rodríguez | tackles | 1+ | 97% | 0 | ✗ |
| Andrés Guardado | tackles | 1+ | 97% | 0 | ✗ |
| Marc Roca | tackles | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Assane Diao | tackles | 1+ | 93% | 2 | ✓ |
| Isco | fouls drawn | 1+ | 92% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ayoze Pérez | tackles | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| William Carvalho | tackles | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Germán Pezzella | tackles | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Veljko Birmančević | shots total | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marc Roca | fouls committed | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Juan Miranda | tackles | 1+ | 85% | 0 | ✗ |
| Veljko Birmančević | tackles | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Abner Vinícius | tackles | 1+ | 85% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Fouls drawn Shots total Fouls committed
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- AC Sparta Praha 1–0 Real Betis Nov 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Real Betis v AC Sparta Praha?
6 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Real Betis v AC Sparta Praha?
The most confident call it got wrong was Guido Rodríguez at 97% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Europa League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.