Royale Union Saint-Gilloise v AS Roma
How the SharpXI model rated this UEFA Europa League fixture — every call it made on cards, shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Royale Union Saint-Gilloise drew with AS Roma 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Manu Koné for 1+ fouls drawn (94%, had 7). Its clearest miss: Enzo Le Fée for 1+ tackles (93%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
11 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Koné | fouls drawn | 1+ | 94% | 7 | ✓ |
| Enzo Le Fée | tackles | 1+ | 93% | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Cristante | tackles | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Zeki Çelik | tackles | 1+ | 91% | 6 | ✓ |
| Manu Koné | tackles | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Artem Dovbyk | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| Niccolò Pisilli | tackles | 1+ | 85% | 0 | ✗ |
| Angeliño | tackles | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini | shots total | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tommaso Baldanzi | shots total | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Eldor Shomurodov | shots total | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | shots total | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tommaso Baldanzi | fouls drawn | 1+ | 84% | 4 | ✓ |
| Enzo Le Fée | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Fouls drawn Tackles Shots total Fouls committed
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Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Royale Union Saint-Gilloise v AS Roma?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Royale Union Saint-Gilloise v AS Roma?
The most confident call it got wrong was Enzo Le Fée at 93% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the UEFA Europa League?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.