Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Over his last 10 La Liga games, Miguel Sesma Espinosa has averaged 4.60 cards a match — 6% below the league average of 4.88. That's 4.6 yellow a game, with no red card in the 10. The away side sees more of them — 2.9 to 1.7 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.2 gap. 5+ cards landed in 50% of them (5 of 10), and he turned 16.6% of fouls into bookings. He points to the spot at about the league's rate: 6 penalties in 20 matches, 0.30 a game against a league average of 0.32. These are raw match figures from games he took charge of, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Miguel Sesma Espinosa turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every La Liga season on record.
| Measure | Espinosa | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.60 | 4.88 |
| vs league | 0.74× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 13.3% | 19.2% |
| Fouls / match | 27.1 | 25.4 |
| Penalties awarded / match | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| Penalties awarded (total) | 6 in 20 | — |
| Red cards shown | 0 | — |
| Matches on record | 20 (20 in 25/26) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 La Liga games Miguel Sesma Espinosa took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Pen | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal v Atlético Madrid24 May | 5–1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| Girona FC v Real Sociedad14 May | 1–1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 32 |
| Getafe v Rayo Vallecano3 May | 0–2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 29 |
| Osasuna v Real Betis12 Apr | 1–1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 |
| Celta Vigo v Deportivo Alavés22 Mar | 3–4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
| Real Oviedo v Valencia14 Mar | 1–0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| Mallorca v Real Sociedad28 Feb | 0–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
| Getafe v Villarreal14 Feb | 2–1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 38 |
Frequently asked
How many cards does Miguel Sesma Espinosa give per game?
Miguel Sesma Espinosa averages 3.60 cards a game across 20 La Liga matches — 26% below the league average of 4.88. When he's appointed, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.74.
Is Miguel Sesma Espinosa a strict referee?
No — he's more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls he turns into bookings — and Miguel Sesma Espinosa runs at 13.3% against a league average of 19.2%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Miguel Sesma Espinosa's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Miguel Sesma Espinosa's card rate?
It rests on 20 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, an opponent factor and de-vigging, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.