Carlos Macedo
Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games Carlos Macedo has officiated, the average is 3.30 cards a match — 36% below the league average of 5.17. That splits 3.0 yellow and 0.3 red a game — a red in 3 of the 10. The home side sees more cards — 1.5 to 1.8 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.2 gap. 5+ cards landed in 20% of those games (2 of 10), from a 13.8% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Carlos Macedo turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Primeira Liga season on record.
| Measure | Macedo | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.14 | 5.17 |
| vs league | 0.80× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 14.9% | 19.0% |
| Fouls / match | 27.8 | 27.2 |
| Red cards shown | 10 | — |
| Matches on record | 44 (4 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Primeira Liga games Carlos Macedo took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave v CD Nacional11 Oct | 3–2 | 4 1 red | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| Académico Viseu FC v Vitória SC12 Sep | 2–1 | 8 1 red | 7 | 1 | 25 |
| CD Nacional v CF Estrela Amadora30 Aug | 2–3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| Estoril Praia v Rio Ave22 Aug | 0–2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
| AVS - Futebol SAD v FC Porto10 May | 3–1 | 4 1 red | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| Estoril Praia v Famalicão26 Apr | 0–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
| Vitória SC v Tondela3 Apr | 5–0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| FC Porto v Moreirense15 Mar | 3–0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
● a red card in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Carlos Macedo give per game?
Carlos Macedo averages 4.14 cards a game across 44 Primeira Liga matches — 20% below the league average of 5.17. On a Carlos Macedo appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.80.
Is Carlos Macedo a strict referee?
No — more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Carlos Macedo runs at 14.9% against a league average of 19.0%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Carlos Macedo's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Carlos Macedo's card rate?
It rests on 44 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.