Serrano Almeida, Nuno Miguel
Serrano Almeida, Nuno Miguel has not taken charge of a Primeira Liga match in 26/27. The figures below are a career record. Over the last 10 Primeira Liga games Serrano Almeida, Nuno Miguel has officiated, the average is 3.90 cards a match — 25% below the league average of 5.17. That splits 3.3 yellow and 0.6 red a game — a red in 5 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 2.2 to 1.7 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.2 gap. 5+ cards landed in 50% of those games (5 of 10), from a 15.9% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Serrano Almeida, Nuno Miguel turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Primeira Liga season on record.
| Measure | Miguel | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.68 | 5.17 |
| vs league | 0.91× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 17.4% | 19.0% |
| Fouls / match | 27.0 | 27.2 |
| Red cards shown | 18 | — |
| Matches on record | 41 (0 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Primeira Liga games Serrano Almeida, Nuno Miguel took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense v Santa Clara5 Oct | 1–0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 25 |
| FC Porto v SC Farense15 Sep | 2–1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 26 |
| Sporting Braga v Moreirense25 Aug | 3–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 |
| Sporting Braga v FC Porto18 May | 0–1 | 5 1 red | 4 | 1 | 23 |
| FC Porto v Sporting CP28 Apr | 2–2 | 5 1 red | 4 | 1 | 19 |
| Chaves v Estoril Praia21 Apr | 2–2 | 4 2 red | 2 | 2 | 21 |
| Boavista v Rio Ave30 Mar | 0–0 | 6 1 red | 5 | 1 | 26 |
| Famalicão v CF Estrela Amadora16 Mar | 0–0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 33 |
● a red card in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Serrano Almeida, Nuno Miguel give per game?
Serrano Almeida, Nuno Miguel averages 4.68 cards a game across 41 Primeira Liga matches — 9% below the league average of 5.17. On a Serrano Almeida, Nuno Miguel appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.91.
Is Serrano Almeida, Nuno Miguel a strict referee?
No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Serrano Almeida, Nuno Miguel runs at 17.4% against a league average of 19.0%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Serrano Almeida, Nuno Miguel's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Serrano Almeida, Nuno Miguel's card rate?
It rests on 41 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.