Serie A · 22/23

Sassuolo v Spezia

How the SharpXI model rated this Serie A fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Sassuolo1 – 0 Spezia 17 Mar 2023

Model scoreboard. Of the model's 14 most-confident calls on this match, 9 landed. A single game is noise, not a verdict — but every call here was published by the same model, priced the same way. This is what an honest track record looks like.

See the full player stats board~~Both likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip~~ ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

Player	Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Domenico Berardi	shots total	1+	100%	4	✓
Andrea Pinamonti	shots total	1+	98%	0	✗
Armand Laurienté	shots total	1+	94%	3	✓
M'bala Nzola	shots total	1+	89%	3	✓
Daniel Maldini	shots total	1+	89%	2	✓
Davide Frattesi	shots total	1+	81%	2	✓
Kristian Thorstvedt	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Emmanuel Gyasi	shots total	1+	81%	0	✗
Matheus Henrique	shots total	1+	79%	2	✓
M'bala Nzola	fouls committed	1+	78%	2	✓
Domenico Berardi	fouls drawn	1+	77%	3	✓
Armand Laurienté	fouls drawn	1+	76%	0	✗
Kristian Thorstvedt	fouls drawn	1+	74%	0	✗
Matheus Henrique	fouls drawn	1+	74%	2	✓

Team & match markets

Market	Line	Model	Actual	Result
Match goals	O2.5	61%	1 goals	✗
Btts	Yes	59%	No	✗
Match cards	O4.5	52%	2 cards	✗

Dig deeper

Sassuolo & Spezia player stats→ Sassuolo players & stats→ Spezia players & stats→ Shots on target model→ To be carded model→ Guide: bet builder value→

Past meetings

Spezia 2–2 Sassuolo Aug 2022

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.

See the track record How the model works