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Serie A referee card profile
NI

Niccolò Baroni

Serie A referee4 matches on record18.1% conversion

No 26/27 appearances

Niccolò Baroni has not taken charge of a Serie A match in 26/27. The figures below are a career record. Over the last 4 Serie A games Niccolò Baroni has officiated, the average is 4.75 cards a match — 13% above the league average of 4.19. That splits 4.5 yellow and 0.2 red a game — a red in 1 of the 4. The home side sees more cards — 2.0 to 2.8 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 50% of those games (2 of 4), from a 18.1% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.

Last games
max 4 on record

Match cards last 4 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer gameModel
These are Niccolò Baroni's own match figures — the raw card and foul counts from the matches covered. They're not adjusted for how aggressive the two teams are or whether it's a derby. The model layers those in — the referee tendency, each player's booking rate and an opponent card-induction factor — to price a specific leg. That combined verdict is the locked price and edge.
last 4

Career profile

The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Niccolò Baroni turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Serie A season on record.

MeasureBaroni League avg
Cards / match4.75 4.19
vs league1.13× 1.00×
Foul-to-card conversion18.1% 16.9%
Fouls / match26.3 24.7
Red cards shown1—
Matches on record4 (0 in 26/27)—

Recent matches

The last 4 Serie A games Niccolò Baroni took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.

MatchScoreCardsYRFouls
Salernitana v Udinese27 May 3–2 6 1 red 5 1 34
Udinese v Sampdoria8 May 2–0 4 4 0 27
Lecce v Sassuolo25 Feb 0–1 4 4 0 24
Torino v Sassuolo17 Sep 0–1 5 5 0 20

● a red card in that match

Niccolò Baroni has officiated only 4 matches on our record — a thin sample. The model shrinks a thin referee tendency toward the league average and discounts its confidence until the evidence builds, so read the numbers above gently.

Frequently asked

How many cards does Niccolò Baroni give per game?

Niccolò Baroni averages 4.75 cards a game across 4 Serie A matches — 13% above the league average of 4.19. That's a raw rate from only 4 matches, so the model shrinks it toward the league average rather than trusting it outright.

Is Niccolò Baroni a strict referee?

Slightly, yes. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Niccolò Baroni runs at 18.1% against a league average of 16.9%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.

Does Niccolò Baroni's record change bet builder card prices?

It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.

How reliable is Niccolò Baroni's card rate?

It rests on 4 career matches, still a thin sample — read it gently. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.

Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.