Darmstadt 98 v Eintracht Frankfurt
How the SharpXI model rated this Bundesliga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Darmstadt 98 drew with Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Eric Ebimbe for 1+ fouls committed (80%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Donny van de Beek for 1+ fouls committed (76%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Ebimbe | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Saša Kalajdžić | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Matthias Bader | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
| Donny van de Beek | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Niels Nkounkou | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Eric Ebimbe | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| Luca Pfeiffer | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 6 | ✓ |
| Saša Kalajdžić | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tim Skarke | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
| Fabian Holland | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Saša Kalajdžić | fouls drawn | 1+ | 71% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ansgar Knauff | shots total | 1+ | 71% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mario Götze | fouls drawn | 1+ | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
| Luca Pfeiffer | fouls drawn | 1+ | 70% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Shots total · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 58% | 2 cards | ✗ |
| BTTS | Yes | 55% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 54% | 4 goals | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Match cards · BTTS
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 Darmstadt 98 Aug 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Darmstadt 98 v Eintracht Frankfurt?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Darmstadt 98 v Eintracht Frankfurt?
The most confident call it got wrong was Donny van de Beek at 76% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Bundesliga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.