Eintracht Frankfurt v Hertha BSC
How the SharpXI model rated this Bundesliga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Eintracht Frankfurt beat Hertha BSC 3–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Randal Kolo Muani for 1+ fouls drawn (79%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Jesper Lindstrøm for 1+ shots total (78%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randal Kolo Muani | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 3 | ✓ |
| Jesper Lindstrøm | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Florian Niederlechner | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 4 | ✓ |
| Daichi Kamada | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Rafael Borré | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Rafael Borré | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Marco Richter | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Randal Kolo Muani | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 4 | ✓ |
| Dodi Lukebakio | fouls drawn | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jessic Ngankam | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jean-Paul Boëtius | fouls drawn | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
| Dodi Lukebakio | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jessic Ngankam | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 1 | ✓ |
| Dodi Lukebakio | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Fouls drawn · Shots total · Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 57% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| BTTS | Yes | 50% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 24% | 3 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match goals · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Hertha BSC 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt Aug 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Eintracht Frankfurt v Hertha BSC?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Eintracht Frankfurt v Hertha BSC?
The most confident call it got wrong was Jesper Lindstrøm at 78% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Bundesliga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.