FC Schalke 04 v SV 07 Elversberg
How the SharpXI model rated this Bundesliga fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before FC Schalke 04 drew with SV 07 Elversberg 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Adil Aouchiche for 1+ shots total (94%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Moussa Sylla for 1+ shots total (94%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
13 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adil Aouchiche | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Moussa Sylla | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Edin Džeko | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Kenan Karaman | shots total | 1+ | 93% | 1 | ✓ |
| Maximilian Wöber | tackles | 1+ | 92% | 1 | ✓ |
| Cole Campbell | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Eric Ebimbe | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| David Mokwa | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lukas Petkov | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Maximilian Wöber | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Soufiane El-Faouzi | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 0 | ✗ |
| Maurice Krattenmacher | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Hasan Kuruçay | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 8 | ✓ |
| Eric Ebimbe | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 4 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 24% | 3 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match cards
Dig deeper
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on FC Schalke 04 v SV 07 Elversberg?
9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on FC Schalke 04 v SV 07 Elversberg?
The most confident call it got wrong was Moussa Sylla at 94% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Bundesliga?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.