Danny Makkelie
Over the last 10 UEFA Champions League games Danny Makkelie has officiated, the average is 2.70 cards a match — 32% below the league average of 3.96. That splits 2.5 yellow and 0.2 red a game — a red in 2 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 1.8 to 0.9 a game, a sharper split than the league's 0.3 gap. 5+ cards landed in 10% of those games (1 of 10), from a 12.8% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Danny Makkelie turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every UEFA Champions League season on record.
| Measure | Makkelie | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.67 | 3.96 |
| vs league | 0.93× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 16.4% | 18.1% |
| Fouls / match | 22.3 | 21.9 |
| Red cards shown | 4 | — |
| Matches on record | 24 (8 in 25/26) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 UEFA Champions League games Danny Makkelie took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid v Arsenal29 Apr | 1–1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
| Arsenal v Bayer 04 Leverkusen17 Mar | 2–0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 |
| Galatasaray v Juventus17 Feb | 5–2 | 4● | 3 | 1 | 26 |
| Atalanta v Athletic Club21 Jan | 2–3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 24 |
| AS Monaco v Galatasaray9 Dec | 1–0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
| Bodø/Glimt v Juventus25 Nov | 2–3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 23 |
| FC København v Borussia Dortmund21 Oct | 2–4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| SSC Napoli v Sporting CP1 Oct | 2–1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 |
● a red card in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Danny Makkelie give per game?
Danny Makkelie averages 3.67 cards a game across 24 UEFA Champions League matches — 7% below the league average of 3.96. On a Danny Makkelie appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.93.
Is Danny Makkelie a strict referee?
No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Danny Makkelie runs at 16.4% against a league average of 18.1%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Danny Makkelie's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Danny Makkelie's card rate?
It rests on 24 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.