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EFL Cup 26/27

Preston North End v Huddersfield Town

How the SharpXI model rated this EFL Cup fixture — every call it made on shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.

Preston North End1 – 1 Huddersfield Town 8 Aug 2026
12/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Preston North End drew with Huddersfield Town 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Ali McCann for 1+ tackles (90%, had 5). Its clearest miss: Alfie Devine for 1+ shots total (89%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Sebastian Stockbridge refereed this match

8 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record

See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Ali McCann tackles 1+ 90% 5 ✓
Alfie Devine shots total 1+ 89% 0 ✗
Pol Valentín tackles 1+ 88% 6 ✓
Lynden Gooch tackles 1+ 88% 0 ✗
Callum Lang shots total 1+ 84% 4 ✓
Milutin Osmajić shots total 1+ 83% 1 ✓
Ashley Fletcher shots total 1+ 83% 2 ✓
Odeluga Offiah tackles 1+ 81% 2 ✓
Jordan Thompson fouls drawn 1+ 76% 3 ✓
Callum Lang fouls drawn 1+ 76% 1 ✓
Marcus Harness tackles 1+ 76% 1 ✓
David Kasumu tackles 1+ 76% 1 ✓
Bali Mumba tackles 1+ 76% 1 ✓
Radinio Balker tackles 1+ 76% 2 ✓

How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls drawn

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Preston North End v Huddersfield Town?

12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Preston North End v Huddersfield Town?

The most confident call it got wrong was Alfie Devine at 89% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the EFL Cup?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.