Sunderland v Huddersfield Town
How the SharpXI model rated this EFL Cup fixture — every call it made on shots, fouls and tackles, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Sunderland drew with Huddersfield Town 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Lynden Gooch for 1+ tackles (94%, had 5). Its clearest miss: David Kasumu for 1+ fouls drawn (76%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
4 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lynden Gooch | tackles | 1+ | 94% | 5 | ✓ |
| Marc Guiu | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 4 | ✓ |
| Wilson Isidor | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jack Whatmough | tackles | 1+ | 88% | 1 | ✓ |
| David Kasumu | tackles | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| David Kasumu | fouls committed | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Joe Taylor | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 1 | ✓ |
| Patrick Roberts | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Enzo Le Fée | tackles | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Enzo Le Fée | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| David Kasumu | fouls drawn | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Murray Wallace | tackles | 1+ | 76% | 3 | ✓ |
| Harrison Jones | tackles | 1+ | 76% | 5 | ✓ |
| Ben Wiles | tackles | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls committed Fouls drawn
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Huddersfield Town 1–0 Sunderland Feb 2024
- Sunderland 1–2 Huddersfield Town Nov 2023
- Sunderland 1–1 Huddersfield Town Apr 2023
- Huddersfield Town 0–2 Sunderland Nov 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Sunderland v Huddersfield Town?
12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Sunderland v Huddersfield Town?
The most confident call it got wrong was David Kasumu at 76% for fouls drawn — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the EFL Cup?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.