Almere City FC v FC Eindhoven
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Almere City FC beat FC Eindhoven 2–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 4 landed — the strongest being Charles-Andreas Brym for 1+ shots total (74%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Evan Rottier for 1+ shots total (77%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Rottier | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lamine Diaby-Fadiga | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 0 | ✗ |
| Pascu | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 3 | ✓ |
| Naoufal Bannis | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Charles-Andreas Brym | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
| Anthony Limbombe Ekango | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ilias Alhaft | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 4 | ✓ |
| Brian De Keersmaecker | shots total | 1+ | 58% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp | shots total | 1+ | 58% | 0 | ✗ |
| Dyon Dorenbosch | shots total | 1+ | 58% | 0 | ✗ |
| Sven Van Doorm | shots total | 1+ | 58% | 0 | ✗ |
| Lamine Diaby-Fadiga | shots on target | 1+ | 57% | 0 | ✗ |
| Naoufal Bannis | shots on target | 1+ | 57% | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Rottier | shots on target | 1+ | 57% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- FC Eindhoven 1–0 Almere City FC May 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Almere City FC v FC Eindhoven?
4 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Almere City FC v FC Eindhoven?
The most confident call it got wrong was Evan Rottier at 77% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.