Marc Nagtegaal
Over the last 10 Eredivisie games Marc Nagtegaal has officiated, the average is 2.50 cards a match — 22% below the league average of 3.19. That splits 2.4 yellow and 0.1 red a game — a red in 1 of the 10. The away side sees more cards — 1.3 to 1.2 a game, flatter than the league's 0.4 gap. 5+ cards landed in 10% of those games (1 of 10), from a 14.1% foul-to-booking rate. These are raw match figures from those games, not odds.
Match cards last 10 games
Career profile
The two numbers that matter are vs league — the multiplier the model applies to a player's booking chance — and conversion, the share of fouls Marc Nagtegaal turns into bookings. Conversion, not the raw foul count, is where a referee's real card tendency lives. Career figures across every Eredivisie season on record.
| Measure | Nagtegaal | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 2.63 | 3.19 |
| vs league | 0.82× | 1.00× |
| Foul-to-card conversion | 13.5% | 15.4% |
| Fouls / match | 19.5 | 20.7 |
| Red cards shown | 7 | — |
| Matches on record | 71 (2 in 26/27) | — |
Recent matches
The last 8 Eredivisie games Marc Nagtegaal took charge of — the actual card and foul counts a match-cards line settles on.
| Match | Score | Cards | Y | R | Fouls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven15 Aug | 1–2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 |
| SC Heerenveen v FC Twente9 Aug | 1–0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| AFC Ajax v FC Groningen21 May | 2–0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 30 |
| FC Volendam v SC Telstar17 May | 1–2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 31 |
| Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar10 May | 1–1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| Almere City FC v FC Den Bosch2 May | 3–0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| FC Den Bosch v Almere City FC29 Apr | 2–3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| PSV Eindhoven v PEC Zwolle23 Apr | 6–1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
● a red card in that match
Frequently asked
How many cards does Marc Nagtegaal give per game?
Marc Nagtegaal averages 2.63 cards a game across 71 Eredivisie matches — 18% below the league average of 3.19. On a Marc Nagtegaal appointment, the model multiplies every player's booking chance by 0.82.
Is Marc Nagtegaal a strict referee?
No — slightly more lenient than most. The honest measure is foul-to-card conversion — the share of fouls that become bookings — and Marc Nagtegaal runs at 13.5% against a league average of 15.4%. Foul counts barely vary between officials; the rate at which a foul becomes a booking is where referees genuinely differ.
Does Marc Nagtegaal's record change bet builder card prices?
It should. The referee is the single biggest factor in the to-be-carded market, and the appointment is public before kick-off — so a strict official on a combative player is the archetypal card edge. The player cards guide walks through exactly how the model turns a tendency like this into a price.
How reliable is Marc Nagtegaal's card rate?
It rests on 71 career matches, a solid record. The model shrinks a referee's tendency toward the league average when the sample is thin and discounts its own confidence for officials with young records, so a number like this never gets trusted beyond what the evidence earns.
Rates shown are figures from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage and an opponent factor, and discounts its confidence for thin referee records, before flagging any card as value. It compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — card markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.