SC Heerenveen v FC Twente
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before SC Heerenveen beat FC Twente 1–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 9 landed — the strongest being Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink for 1+ shots total (94%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Younes Taha for 1+ shots total (94%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Younes Taha | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Wout Weghorst | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 4 | ✓ |
| Marko Pjaca | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Daan Rots | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Sondre Ørjasæter | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Thomas Van den Belt | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Dylan Vente | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Luca Oyen | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Trenskow | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Younes Taha | shots on target | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ringo Meerveld | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ramiz Zerrouki | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nolhan Courtens | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- FC Twente 5–0 SC Heerenveen Feb 2026
- SC Heerenveen 1–2 FC Twente Aug 2025
- SC Heerenveen 3–3 FC Twente Feb 2025
- FC Twente 2–0 SC Heerenveen Sep 2024
- SC Heerenveen 3–3 FC Twente Apr 2024
- FC Twente 1–0 SC Heerenveen Sep 2023
- SC Heerenveen 1–2 FC Twente Jun 2023
- FC Twente 3–3 SC Heerenveen Mar 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on SC Heerenveen v FC Twente?
9 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on SC Heerenveen v FC Twente?
The most confident call it got wrong was Younes Taha at 94% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.