Almere City FC v RKC Waalwijk
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Almere City FC lost to RKC Waalwijk 1–4, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 14 landed — the strongest being Kornelius Normann for 1+ shots total (94%, had 2). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kornelius Normann | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Junior Kadile | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 4 | ✓ |
| Oskar Zawada | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 7 | ✓ |
| Charles-Andreas Brym | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Thomas Robinet | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Yassin Oukili | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Mohamed Ihattaren | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 9 | ✓ |
| Richonell Margaret | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Richard van der Venne | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Thom Haye | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
| Oskar Zawada | shots on target | 1+ | 76% | 3 | ✓ |
| Junior Kadile | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 2 | ✓ |
| Charles-Andreas Brym | shots on target | 1+ | 71% | 2 | ✓ |
| Kornelius Normann | shots on target | 1+ | 71% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- RKC Waalwijk 2–0 Almere City FC Nov 2024
- RKC Waalwijk 0–0 Almere City FC Apr 2024
- Almere City FC 1–0 RKC Waalwijk Oct 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Almere City FC v RKC Waalwijk?
14 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Almere City FC v RKC Waalwijk?
Every one of its confident calls landed this time — a single strong game, not a verdict. When the model does miss, those rows sit in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross; we never hide them.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.