FC Groningen v FC Twente
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before FC Groningen drew with FC Twente 2–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 14 landed — the strongest being Younes Taha for 1+ shots total (94%, had 3). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Younes Taha | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Thom van Bergen | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 5 | ✓ |
| Oskar Zawada | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sondre Ørjasæter | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Marko Pjaca | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Wout Weghorst | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 4 | ✓ |
| Daan Rots | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Ondrejka | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Daouda Weidmann | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| David van der Werff | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 4 | ✓ |
| Younes Taha | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ramiz Zerrouki | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tika de Jonge | shots total | 1+ | 65% | 4 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- FC Twente 2–1 FC Groningen Feb 2026
- FC Groningen 1–1 FC Twente Nov 2025
- FC Groningen 1–1 FC Twente Mar 2025
- FC Twente 2–0 FC Groningen Dec 2024
- FC Twente 3–0 FC Groningen Oct 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on FC Groningen v FC Twente?
14 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on FC Groningen v FC Twente?
Every one of its confident calls landed this time — a single strong game, not a verdict. When the model does miss, those rows sit in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross; we never hide them.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.