FC Groningen v Go Ahead Eagles
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before FC Groningen drew with Go Ahead Eagles 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Thom van Bergen for 1+ shots total (96%, had 5). Its clearest miss: Victor Edvardsen for 1+ shots total (77%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thom van Bergen | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 5 | ✓ |
| Younes Taha | shots total | 1+ | 96% | 2 | ✓ |
| David van der Werff | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 5 | ✓ |
| Søren Tengstedt | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mathis Suray | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Finn Stokkers | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Victor Edvardsen | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 0 | ✗ |
| Tika de Jonge | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 3 | ✓ |
| Travis Hernes | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jaden Slory | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jakob Breum | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Younes Taha | shots on target | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson | shots on target | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 FC Groningen Sep 2026
- Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 FC Groningen Dec 2025
- Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 FC Groningen Jan 2025
- FC Groningen 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles Sep 2024
- Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 FC Groningen May 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on FC Groningen v Go Ahead Eagles?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on FC Groningen v Go Ahead Eagles?
The most confident call it got wrong was Victor Edvardsen at 77% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.