FC Utrecht v FC Twente
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before FC Utrecht drew with FC Twente 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Kristian Hlynsson for 1+ shots total (91%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Sam Lammers for 1+ shots total (91%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sondre Ørjasæter | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Kristian Hlynsson | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Sam Lammers | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Miguel Rodríguez | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Yoann Cathline | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Noah Ohio | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Daan Rots | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 4 | ✓ |
| Ricky van Wolfswinkel | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Thomas Van den Belt | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 4 | ✓ |
| Victor Jensen | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
| Gjivai Zechiël | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
| Dani De Wit | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 1 | ✓ |
| Robin Pröpper | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 1 | ✓ |
| Souffian El Karouani | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- FC Twente 0–2 FC Utrecht Mar 2026
- FC Twente 2–0 FC Utrecht May 2025
- FC Utrecht 2–1 FC Twente Sep 2024
- FC Twente 0–1 FC Utrecht Feb 2024
- FC Utrecht 1–1 FC Twente Nov 2023
- FC Utrecht 1–0 FC Twente Apr 2023
- FC Twente 2–0 FC Utrecht Jan 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on FC Utrecht v FC Twente?
12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on FC Utrecht v FC Twente?
The most confident call it got wrong was Sam Lammers at 91% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.