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Eredivisie 25/26

FC Volendam v Feyenoord

How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.

FC Volendam0 – 0 Feyenoord 5 Apr 2026
11/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before FC Volendam drew with Feyenoord 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Ayase Ueda for 1+ shots total (96%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Gonçalo Borges for 1+ shots on target (76%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Allard Lindhout refereed this match 2.90cards a gameleague 3.19 99games
Allard Lindhout's card record
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip ›

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Ayase Ueda shots total 1+ 96% 2 ✓
Gonçalo Borges shots total 1+ 94% 2 ✓
Raheem Sterling shots total 1+ 91% 2 ✓
Jakub Moder shots total 1+ 87% 4 ✓
Luciano Valente shots total 1+ 87% 2 ✓
Benjamin Pauwels shots total 1+ 87% 2 ✓
Ayase Ueda shots on target 1+ 82% 1 ✓
Jordan Bos shots total 1+ 77% 1 ✓
Thijs Kraaijeveld shots total 1+ 77% 1 ✓
Gonçalo Borges shots on target 1+ 76% 0 ✗
Anthony Descotte shots total 1+ 74% 5 ✓
Raheem Sterling shots on target 1+ 73% 0 ✗
Joel Ideho shots total 1+ 72% 2 ✓
Brandley Kuwas shots total 1+ 65% 0 ✗

How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target

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Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on FC Volendam v Feyenoord?

11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on FC Volendam v Feyenoord?

The most confident call it got wrong was Gonçalo Borges at 76% for shots on target — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.