Fortuna Sittard v Go Ahead Eagles
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Fortuna Sittard drew with Go Ahead Eagles 2–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 6 landed — the strongest being Paul Gladon for 1+ shots total (94%, had 6). Its clearest miss: Oscar Pettersson for 1+ shots total (91%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Gladon | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 6 | ✓ |
| Oscar Pettersson | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Milan Smit | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Kristoffer Peterson | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 4 | ✓ |
| Victor Edvardsen | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Mathis Suray | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Richonell Margaret | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Philip Brittijn | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Melle Meulensteen | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Édouard Michut | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mats Deijl | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ryan Fosso | shots total | 1+ | 64% | 4 | ✓ |
| Oscar Pettersson | shots on target | 1+ | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
| Paul Gladon | shots on target | 1+ | 60% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Shots on target
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 Fortuna Sittard Jan 2026
- Fortuna Sittard 0–3 Go Ahead Eagles Jan 2025
- Go Ahead Eagles 0–2 Fortuna Sittard Aug 2024
- Fortuna Sittard 0–0 Go Ahead Eagles May 2024
- Go Ahead Eagles 3–0 Fortuna Sittard Sep 2023
- Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 Fortuna Sittard Apr 2023
- Fortuna Sittard 0–2 Go Ahead Eagles Jan 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Fortuna Sittard v Go Ahead Eagles?
6 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Fortuna Sittard v Go Ahead Eagles?
The most confident call it got wrong was Oscar Pettersson at 91% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.