Go Ahead Eagles v Almere City FC
How the SharpXI model rated this Eredivisie fixture — every call it made on shots, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Go Ahead Eagles beat Almere City FC 3–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Søren Tengstedt for 1+ shots total (94%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Junior Kadile for 1+ shots total (94%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Kadile | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Søren Tengstedt | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Kornelius Normann | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jakob Breum | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 3 | ✓ |
| Faiz Mattoir | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ruben Providence | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Oliver Valaker Edvardsen | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Thomas Robinet | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Thom Haye | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Oliver Antman | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Logan Delaurier-Chaubet | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 0 | ✗ |
| Victor Edvardsen | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 4 | ✓ |
| Mathis Suray | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Enric Llansana | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Almere City FC 0–0 Go Ahead Eagles Apr 2025
- Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 Almere City FC Apr 2024
- Almere City FC 0–0 Go Ahead Eagles Oct 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Go Ahead Eagles v Almere City FC?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Go Ahead Eagles v Almere City FC?
The most confident call it got wrong was Junior Kadile at 94% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Eredivisie?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.